Handicapper J. Keeler Johnson shares picks and plays for Monday, Nov. 28 at Turf Paradise, alongside horses to play in the $3,852 Pick 5 vestige at Mahoning Valley.
Picks and Plays
Turf Paradise: Race 3: $15,000 Remittance Discretionary Asserting (one mile, 3:24 p.m. ET)
Subsequent to spending six of his first seven starts contending on the Southern California circuit, #7 Westphal (7-2) appreciated shipping to Turf Paradise for a $20,000 stipend discretionary claimer. Seeing on Unifrance, racing one mile in his first start for high-rate mentor Justin Evans (a 27% victor at Turf Paradise this meet), Westphal revitalized from something like 2 1/4 lengths off the lead to score by two lengths with a solid 80 Brisnet Speed rating.
Westphal subsequently wavered in a grass recompense at Turf Paradise, however getting back to soil can set off a bounce back under hot rider Luis Negron, who has gone 9-for-27 (33%) collaborating with Evans throughout the course of recent months.
'We'll wager Westphal to win, then, at that point, single him to start twofold and Pick 3 wagers.
$20 to win on #7 Westphal
$10 Twofold: 7 with 3
$5 Pick 3: 7 with 3 with 6
Complete: $35
Turf Paradise: Race 4: $16,000 Starter Discretionary Asserting (one mile on turf, 3:54 p.m. ET)
#3 Thirty Seconds Out (3-1) boasts an amazing 맥스88 14-4-5-1 record over the Turf Paradise grass course. He was especially sharp in a $15,000-$10,000 starter discretionary claimer racing 1 1/8-miles recently, driving the whole way to win by 1 1/2 lengths.
There isn't an insane measure of speed in Monday's field, so Thirty Seconds Out should partake in one more great excursion toward the front. The reality hot mentor Jose Silva Jr. strikes at a 34% rate with last-out winners adds to the allure.
Notwithstanding a success bet on Thirty Seconds Out, we'll single him in our twofold and Pick 3 wagers.
$20 to win on #3 Thirty Seconds Out
$10 Twofold: 3 with 6
Complete: $30
Turf Paradise: Race 5: $30,000 Lady Discretionary Asserting (one mile, 4:31 p.m. ET)
#6 Assuming responsibility Desi (2-1) ran strongly in her first attempt over this track and class level on Nov. 15. Leaned toward at 9-10 to win a six-furlong dash, Assuming responsibility Desi mobilized to lead in midstretch, just to debilitate late and settle for second spot by 3/4 of a length.
Assuming responsibility Desi has broken the trifecta in six straight races, remembering a next in line finish for a one-mile lady special load at Canterbury Park. Stretching back out more than one mile shouldn't be an issue for the girl of Travers (G1) victor Will Assume responsibility, so we'll single Assuming responsibility Desi to finish up our multi-race wagers.
We'll also wager Assuming responsibility Desi over #1 Lucy K (4-1) in an exacta.
$10 Exacta: 6 with 1
Vestige Watch
Mahoning Valley, Race 1: $3,852 Pick 5 vestige (12:45 p.m. ET)
You'll need to start off bright and early playing the races this Monday to pursue the $3,852 Pick 5 vestige available to anyone at Mahoning Valley. The 50-penny bet kicks off in Race 1 at 12:45 p.m. ET, so you'll need to get your bets in before early afternoon assuming you live in three of the four mainland U.S. time regions.
Need assistance constructing your tickets? We'll assist with kicking you off with a suggested single and live longshot:
Best single: Race 3: #8 Fast Giselle (2-1)
It could seem a piece risky to single a three-year-old filly confronting more established rivals in her return from a one-year cutback, yet Fast Giselle looks prepared to win this six-furlong lady special load for fillies and mares. Fast Giselle ran three times on the Kentucky circuit last fall, finishing sixth, second, and fifth in a triplet of six-furlong lady special weights at Keeneland and Churchill Downs. Her third start delivered a 80 Brisnet Speed rating, obviously the highest figure in Monday's field.
Fast Giselle has prepared up a storm at The Pure breed Community in anticipation of her return. She floated a slug half-mile from the starting entryway in :47 3/5 on Oct. 22, rehashed the accomplishment on Oct. 29, and timed a projectile five furlongs in 1:01.00 on Nov. 8. Fast Giselle is also adding blinkers and Lasix, so there are many reasons to accept she'll deliver a triumphant run off the cutback.
Live longshot: Race 1: #6 Youvesaiditall (5-1)
Speed hasn't been conveying very well in one-mile 맥스벳 races at Mahoning Valley this meet, with door to-wire winners striking just 9% of the time from a sample size of 43 races. We'll see in the event that Youvesaiditall can exploit this track profile to keep an upset triumph as the fourth decision in a one-mile $15,000 claimer.
Youvesaiditall isn't totally ailing in strategic speed; two starts back, he utilized pace-following tactics to overwhelm a $16,000 claimer racing one mile at Thistledown by five lengths. However, the son of Lookin At Fortunate is also more than adequate at mobilizing from a long ways behind. In a $10,000 claimer north of one mile at Mahoning Valley recently, Youvesaiditall dropped almost twelve lengths off the early speed prior to mobilizing to win by 1 3/4 lengths.
There's a decent lot of speed entered in Monday's field, so Youvesaiditall should get the ideal setup to record a third consecutive triumph.
Best of luck!
'All others' leaned toward in KDFW Pool 2, Sire Future Bet
The mutuel field of "Any remaining three-year-old colts and geldings" closed as the 4-5 number one in Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Bet (KDFW) directed over Thanksgiving weekend. Likewise, the "Any remaining sires" choice demonstrated the well known decision at 5-1 in the Kentucky Derby Sire Future Bet that ran simultaneously from Thursday through Sunday night.
Leaned toward among the singular interests in Pool 2 was Breeders' Cup Adolescent (G1) legend Strength, who was fixed as the 10-1 decision on the morning line and finished at the same cost. In Pool 1 during Breeders' Cup week, he closed at 16-1.
Impressive Keeneland debut victor Extra Anejo, the 12-1 individual number one in Pool 1, kept on getting a lot of support. He was the 13-1 second pick of the named contenders in Pool 2, just off his 15-1 morning line.
Loggins, who just missed to Strength in the Breeders' Futurity (G1) and skipped the Breeders' Cup, was maneuvered into 19-1 from a 40-1 morning line. In Pool 1, he closed at 27-1, so the structure boost courtesy of Specialty made a difference.
Signator, a 39-1 possibility in Pool 1, has been inactive since his smart Aqueduct lady score, however got momentum in Pool 2. Listed at 60-1 again on the morning line, he saw his value agreement to 27-1. Monster Mischief, new to Pool 2 as a singular following a high-profile Keeneland remittance win, opened at 25-1 and crept up to 27-1. He was just a couple of dollars shy ($3,785) of the sum bet on Signator ($3,797) in the Success pool... READ MORE
While the "Any remaining males" choice was popular similarly in Pools 1 and 2, closing at 4-5 in each, the "Any remaining three-year-old fillies" pulled in a touch more interest this time. A 37-1 proposition in Pool 1, the fillies' mutuel field was wagered down from 80-1 to 29-1 in Pool 2, probable because of Saturday's smashing Golden Pole (G2) victor Hoosier Philly.
Similarly, Instant Espresso advertised himself by catching Saturday's Kentucky Rider Club (G2), his odds shortening from a 80-1 morning line to 35-1 toward the finish of betting Sunday. He had been a 93-1 shot in Pool 1.
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